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Quyết định lãi suất của tám ngân hàng trung ương lớn, dữ liệu Mỹ làm vàng và đô la biến động, và các phiên đấu giá trái phiếu Kho bạc trong hai tháng tới, mỗi mục từ ngân hàng hoặc cơ quan công bố nó.
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The Gold Field Guide
Read 8 min ago.
Next high-impact event: Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday 28 October (in 2 days).
- 1 (0 high)
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- 2 (1 high)
| Ngày | Time | Tiền tệ | Impact | Nội dung |
|---|---|---|---|---|
today | USD | Thấp | US 2-Year note auction amount not announced yet | |
tomorrow | USD | Thấp | US 5-Year note auction amount not announced yet | |
sau 2 ngày | 01:00 UTC | NZD | Cao | Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time |
| 13:45 UTC | CAD | Cao | Bank of Canada rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:45 local time | |
| 18:00 UTC 2:00 pm New York | USD | Cao | US Federal Reserve rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time Gold after the last 40: a typical move of 0.48% in the first hour, up 21 times and down 19. Playbook | |
| USD | Thấp | US 2-Year note auction amount not announced yet | ||
sau 3 ngày | 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% | |
| 13:15 UTC | EUR | Cao | European Central Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:15 local time | |
sau 4 ngày | 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US employment cost index Employment Cost Index |
| JPY | Cao | Bank of Japan rate decision decision day, no set announcement time | ||
sau 8 ngày | 03:30 UTC | AUD | Cao | Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:30 local time |
| 15:00 UTC 10:00 am New York | USD | Medium | US job openings (JOLTS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Last published: openings 7.08 million (Aug 2026); before that: openings 7.33 million | |
sau 9 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US trade balance U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services |
| 14:00 UTC | EUR | Cao | Euro area inflation, flash estimate (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate | |
sau 10 ngày | 12:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | Bank of England rate decision decision day, usually announced at 12:00 local time |
sau 11 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US jobs report (non-farm payrolls) Employment Situation Last published: payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (Sep 2026); before that: payrolls +133k, unemployment 4.1% Gold after the last 68: a typical move of 0.33% in the first hour, up 40 times and down 28. Playbook |
sau 15 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US consumer prices (CPI) Consumer Price Index Last published: y/y 3.7%, m/m 0.6% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 3.4%, m/m 0.4% Gold after the last 69: a typical move of 0.34% in the first hour, up 42 times and down 27. Playbook |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Thấp | US real earnings Real Earnings | |
sau 17 ngày | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | UK GDP, first estimate GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | UK GDP, first estimate GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 | |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: September 2026 | |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: September 2026 time series | |
sau 18 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US producer prices (PPI) Producer Price Index Last published: y/y 6.3% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 5.6% |
sau 22 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Thấp | US import and export prices U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes |
sau 23 ngày | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: October 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: October 2026 | |
| 11:00 UTC | EUR | Medium | Euro area inflation, final (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP | |
sau 25 ngày | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: October 2026 |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: October 2026 time series | |
sau 30 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% | |
sau 36 ngày | 14:00 UTC | EUR | Cao | Euro area inflation, flash estimate (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate |
| 15:00 UTC 10:00 am New York | USD | Medium | US job openings (JOLTS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Last published: openings 7.08 million (Aug 2026); before that: openings 7.33 million | |
sau 39 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US jobs report (non-farm payrolls) Employment Situation Last published: payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (Sep 2026); before that: payrolls +133k, unemployment 4.1% Gold after the last 68: a typical move of 0.33% in the first hour, up 40 times and down 28. Playbook |
sau 43 ngày | 03:30 UTC | AUD | Cao | Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:30 local time |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US trade balance U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services | |
sau 44 ngày | 01:00 UTC | NZD | Cao | Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time |
| 14:45 UTC | CAD | Cao | Bank of Canada rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:45 local time | |
| 19:00 UTC 2:00 pm New York | USD | Cao | US Federal Reserve rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time Gold after the last 40: a typical move of 0.48% in the first hour, up 21 times and down 19. Playbook | |
sau 45 ngày | 08:30 UTC | CHF | Cao | Swiss National Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:30 local time |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US consumer prices (CPI) Consumer Price Index Last published: y/y 3.7%, m/m 0.6% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 3.4%, m/m 0.4% Gold after the last 69: a typical move of 0.34% in the first hour, up 42 times and down 27. Playbook | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Thấp | US real earnings Real Earnings | |
sau 46 ngày | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: October 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: October 2026 | |
sau 50 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US producer prices (PPI) Producer Price Index Last published: y/y 6.3% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 5.6% |
sau 51 ngày | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: November 2026 |
sau 52 ngày | 11:00 UTC | EUR | Medium | Euro area inflation, final (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP |
| 12:00 UTC | GBP | Cao | Bank of England rate decision decision day, usually announced at 12:00 local time | |
| 13:15 UTC | EUR | Cao | European Central Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:15 local time | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Thấp | US import and export prices U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes | |
sau 53 ngày | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: November 2026 |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: November 2026 time series | |
| JPY | Cao | Bank of Japan rate decision decision day, no set announcement time | ||
sau 58 ngày | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US GDP Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US GDP Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Cao | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% |
Release playbooks
How the releases that move gold most are usually read, and what gold did right after each past one: moves from the last price before the release, in US dollars an ounce and in percent, on Baroq data's gold prices. These are past moves, not a forecast.
Báo cáo việc làm Mỹ (non-farm payrolls)
More jobs or faster pay rises than markets expected usually lift the dollar and US yields, and gold tends to fall; a weak report usually does the opposite. Revisions to the two months before can move gold as much as the new number.
Gold after the 68 releases from 2020-02-07 to 2025-12-16: a typical move of 0.30% in the first 15 minutes, 0.33% in the first hour, 0.61% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 40 times and down 28. The biggest first hour: -$32.45 (-1.70%) on 2023-02-03.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,301.07 | +$3.23 +0.08% | +$24.62 +0.57% | +$29.55 / -$1.25 | +$0.97 +0.02% | |
| $4,085.88 | -$5.14 -0.13% | -$5.40 -0.13% | +$10.44 / -$18.91 | -$8.68 -0.21% | |
| $3,554.69 | +$28.78 +0.81% | +$24.44 +0.69% | +$32.16 / -$0.15 | +$31.89 +0.90% | |
| $3,301.46 | +$37.80 +1.14% | +$50.29 +1.52% | +$53.30 / $0.00 | +$60.92 +1.85% | |
| $3,350.34 | -$38.15 -1.14% | -$17.91 -0.53% | +$0.03 / -$38.67 | -$24.42 -0.73% | |
| $3,358.67 | -$5.48 -0.16% | -$4.73 -0.14% | +$5.49 / -$15.11 | -$46.55 -1.39% | |
| $3,258.98 | -$2.71 -0.08% | -$1.62 -0.05% | +$4.07 / -$19.47 | -$18.68 -0.57% | |
| $3,096.90 | -$8.12 -0.26% | -$21.09 -0.68% | +$4.18 / -$27.04 | -$59.56 -1.92% | |
| $2,912.41 | +$10.53 +0.36% | +$4.59 +0.16% | +$13.95 / -$8.24 | -$0.47 -0.02% | |
| $2,864.19 | -$1.24 -0.04% | +$9.29 +0.32% | +$11.06 / -$11.67 | -$2.89 -0.10% | |
| $2,676.91 | -$1.16 -0.04% | +$12.33 +0.46% | +$13.82 / -$12.81 | +$12.05 +0.45% | |
| $2,635.57 | +$0.27 +0.01% | -$5.72 -0.22% | +$7.94 / -$11.45 | -$2.90 -0.11% |
US consumer prices (CPI)
Inflation above what markets expected usually means US rates stay high for longer: the dollar and yields rise and gold tends to fall at first. Inflation below expectations usually does the opposite.
Gold after the 69 releases from 2020-02-13 to 2025-12-18: a typical move of 0.30% in the first 15 minutes, 0.34% in the first hour, 0.57% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 42 times and down 27. The biggest first hour: +$31.65 (+1.73%) on 2021-11-10.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,321.08 | +$15.61 +0.36% | +$11.74 +0.27% | +$21.93 / $0.00 | +$11.26 +0.26% | |
| $4,061.74 | +$21.73 +0.53% | +$52.39 +1.29% | +$60.21 / -$0.47 | +$50.52 +1.24% | |
| $3,623.83 | +$13.32 +0.37% | -$2.38 -0.07% | +$20.12 / -$10.70 | +$10.13 +0.28% | |
| $3,339.65 | +$10.02 +0.30% | +$7.93 +0.24% | +$18.46 / $0.00 | +$8.38 +0.25% | |
| $3,354.24 | -$2.68 -0.08% | -$13.38 -0.40% | +$5.87 / -$16.45 | -$29.59 -0.88% | |
| $3,339.77 | +$14.63 +0.44% | -$1.97 -0.06% | +$20.93 / -$8.04 | +$15.05 +0.45% | |
| $3,239.87 | +$7.49 +0.23% | +$4.63 +0.14% | +$9.06 / -$3.53 | +$10.11 +0.31% | |
| $3,126.51 | -$1.69 -0.05% | +$6.34 +0.20% | +$10.23 / -$10.37 | +$48.88 +1.56% | |
| $2,913.76 | +$5.22 +0.18% | -$2.82 -0.10% | +$9.43 / -$7.59 | +$19.55 +0.67% | |
| $2,877.69 | -$6.16 -0.21% | +$17.99 +0.63% | +$18.57 / -$13.47 | +$26.28 +0.91% | |
| $2,684.02 | +$2.92 +0.11% | +$5.67 +0.21% | +$11.94 / $0.00 | +$12.26 +0.46% | |
| $2,694.51 | +$5.80 +0.22% | +$6.19 +0.23% | +$9.74 / -$0.56 | +$23.44 +0.87% |
Quyết định lãi suất của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Hoa Kỳ
A cut, or a hint of cuts sooner than markets expected, usually weakens the dollar and helps gold; a hold with a firm tone, or a hike, usually does the opposite. The press conference half an hour later often moves gold more than the decision itself.
Gold after the 40 releases from 2021-01-27 to 2025-12-10: a typical move of 0.19% in the first 15 minutes, 0.48% in the first hour, 0.72% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 21 times and down 19. The biggest first hour: +$31.50 (+1.59%) on 2023-12-13.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,194.43 | +$17.83 +0.43% | +$22.21 +0.53% | +$25.44 / -$12.52 | +$34.11 +0.81% | |
| $3,994.85 | -$11.45 -0.29% | -$25.54 -0.64% | +$12.56 / -$51.85 | -$64.73 -1.62% | |
| $3,686.70 | +$1.23 +0.03% | -$36.32 -0.99% | +$20.82 / -$40.48 | -$26.86 -0.73% | |
| $3,302.21 | -$2.84 -0.09% | -$21.98 -0.67% | +$2.77 / -$22.60 | -$27.31 -0.83% | |
| $3,385.27 | +$6.93 +0.20% | -$6.14 -0.18% | +$10.55 / -$6.89 | -$16.12 -0.48% | |
| $3,385.01 | +$10.29 +0.30% | -$0.39 -0.01% | +$12.91 / -$8.95 | -$20.57 -0.61% | |
| $3,030.20 | +$8.45 +0.28% | +$16.68 +0.55% | +$18.42 / -$0.51 | +$16.96 +0.56% | |
| $2,750.84 | -$2.86 -0.10% | +$4.41 +0.16% | +$6.88 / -$6.11 | +$8.84 +0.32% | |
| $2,636.78 | -$20.15 -0.76% | -$32.20 -1.22% | +$0.16 / -$32.70 | -$51.47 -1.95% | |
| $2,695.28 | -$2.41 -0.09% | -$0.88 -0.03% | +$2.82 / -$7.80 | +$10.96 +0.41% | |
| $2,567.57 | +$21.34 +0.83% | +$8.21 +0.32% | +$32.59 / -$0.48 | -$8.30 -0.32% | |
| $2,425.82 | -$3.41 -0.14% | +$8.06 +0.33% | +$9.60 / -$4.23 | +$21.42 +0.88% |
Cần biết
- Tác động là đánh giá của chúng tôi về mức độ một sự kiện thường làm vàng, tiền tệ và chỉ số biến động: cao với báo cáo việc làm, CPI, PCE, GDP và mọi quyết định lãi suất của tám ngân hàng trung ương lớn; trung bình và thấp với phần còn lại. Đây là nhãn của chúng tôi, không phải của các cơ quan.
- Giá có thể nhảy và spread nới rộng trong vài phút quanh một báo cáo, nên một stop có thể khớp cách xa mức giá của nó. Một số broker hạn chế giao dịch quanh các thời điểm này: hãy đọc quy định tài khoản của bạn.
- Mỗi công bố lớn của Mỹ hiển thị số liệu công bố gần nhất; khi số mới ra, nó thế chỗ. Dự báo và số liệu "đồng thuận" là dữ liệu trả phí của công ty khác nên không có ở đây.
- Giờ theo UTC; các công bố của Mỹ có thêm giờ New York. Ngân hàng Trung ương Nhật Bản không đặt giờ cố định cho quyết định nên không có giờ. Đấu giá Kho bạc đóng lúc 1:00 giờ chiều giờ New York trong ngày.
Every Fed and ECB date of the year: central bank calendar. Source: Baroq data. Dates can move.
Sách miễn phí · PDF · 6 trang và 1 nữa
The Gold Field Guide
Một ngày giao dịch vàng theo từng giờ, sáu lực đứng sau giá và những bản công bố đáng đưa vào lịch của bạn.
Chỉ là dữ liệu và giáo dục, không phải lời khuyên đầu tư và không phải tín hiệu giao dịch. Nguồn công khai có thể chậm hoặc sai; hãy kiểm tra trước khi dựa vào một con số. Giá quá khứ không dự đoán được thị trường sẽ làm gì. Cảnh báo rủi ro · Giải thích các từ trên trang này