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The Gold Field Guide
Read 8 min ago.
Next high-impact event: Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday 28 October (in 2 days).
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| Gün | Time | Para birimi | Impact | Ne |
|---|---|---|---|---|
today | USD | En düşük | US 2-Year note auction amount not announced yet | |
tomorrow | USD | En düşük | US 5-Year note auction amount not announced yet | |
2 gün sonra | 01:00 UTC | NZD | En yüksek | Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time |
| 13:45 UTC | CAD | En yüksek | Bank of Canada rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:45 local time | |
| 18:00 UTC 2:00 pm New York | USD | En yüksek | US Federal Reserve rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time Gold after the last 40: a typical move of 0.48% in the first hour, up 21 times and down 19. Playbook | |
| USD | En düşük | US 2-Year note auction amount not announced yet | ||
3 gün sonra | 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% | |
| 13:15 UTC | EUR | En yüksek | European Central Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:15 local time | |
4 gün sonra | 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US employment cost index Employment Cost Index |
| JPY | En yüksek | Bank of Japan rate decision decision day, no set announcement time | ||
8 gün sonra | 03:30 UTC | AUD | En yüksek | Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:30 local time |
| 15:00 UTC 10:00 am New York | USD | Medium | US job openings (JOLTS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Last published: openings 7.08 million (Aug 2026); before that: openings 7.33 million | |
9 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US trade balance U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services |
| 14:00 UTC | EUR | En yüksek | Euro area inflation, flash estimate (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate | |
10 gün sonra | 12:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | Bank of England rate decision decision day, usually announced at 12:00 local time |
11 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US jobs report (non-farm payrolls) Employment Situation Last published: payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (Sep 2026); before that: payrolls +133k, unemployment 4.1% Gold after the last 68: a typical move of 0.33% in the first hour, up 40 times and down 28. Playbook |
15 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US consumer prices (CPI) Consumer Price Index Last published: y/y 3.7%, m/m 0.6% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 3.4%, m/m 0.4% Gold after the last 69: a typical move of 0.34% in the first hour, up 42 times and down 27. Playbook |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En düşük | US real earnings Real Earnings | |
17 gün sonra | 07:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | UK GDP, first estimate GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | UK GDP, first estimate GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 | |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: September 2026 | |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: September 2026 time series | |
18 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US producer prices (PPI) Producer Price Index Last published: y/y 6.3% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 5.6% |
22 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En düşük | US import and export prices U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes |
23 gün sonra | 07:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: October 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: October 2026 | |
| 11:00 UTC | EUR | Medium | Euro area inflation, final (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP | |
25 gün sonra | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: October 2026 |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: October 2026 time series | |
30 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% | |
36 gün sonra | 14:00 UTC | EUR | En yüksek | Euro area inflation, flash estimate (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate |
| 15:00 UTC 10:00 am New York | USD | Medium | US job openings (JOLTS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Last published: openings 7.08 million (Aug 2026); before that: openings 7.33 million | |
39 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US jobs report (non-farm payrolls) Employment Situation Last published: payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (Sep 2026); before that: payrolls +133k, unemployment 4.1% Gold after the last 68: a typical move of 0.33% in the first hour, up 40 times and down 28. Playbook |
43 gün sonra | 03:30 UTC | AUD | En yüksek | Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:30 local time |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US trade balance U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services | |
44 gün sonra | 01:00 UTC | NZD | En yüksek | Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time |
| 14:45 UTC | CAD | En yüksek | Bank of Canada rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:45 local time | |
| 19:00 UTC 2:00 pm New York | USD | En yüksek | US Federal Reserve rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time Gold after the last 40: a typical move of 0.48% in the first hour, up 21 times and down 19. Playbook | |
45 gün sonra | 08:30 UTC | CHF | En yüksek | Swiss National Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:30 local time |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US consumer prices (CPI) Consumer Price Index Last published: y/y 3.7%, m/m 0.6% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 3.4%, m/m 0.4% Gold after the last 69: a typical move of 0.34% in the first hour, up 42 times and down 27. Playbook | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En düşük | US real earnings Real Earnings | |
46 gün sonra | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: October 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: October 2026 | |
50 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US producer prices (PPI) Producer Price Index Last published: y/y 6.3% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 5.6% |
51 gün sonra | 07:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: November 2026 |
52 gün sonra | 11:00 UTC | EUR | Medium | Euro area inflation, final (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP |
| 12:00 UTC | GBP | En yüksek | Bank of England rate decision decision day, usually announced at 12:00 local time | |
| 13:15 UTC | EUR | En yüksek | European Central Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:15 local time | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En düşük | US import and export prices U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes | |
53 gün sonra | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: November 2026 |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: November 2026 time series | |
| JPY | En yüksek | Bank of Japan rate decision decision day, no set announcement time | ||
58 gün sonra | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US GDP Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US GDP Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | En yüksek | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% |
Release playbooks
How the releases that move gold most are usually read, and what gold did right after each past one: moves from the last price before the release, in US dollars an ounce and in percent, on Baroq data's gold prices. These are past moves, not a forecast.
ABD istihdam raporu (tarım dışı istihdam)
More jobs or faster pay rises than markets expected usually lift the dollar and US yields, and gold tends to fall; a weak report usually does the opposite. Revisions to the two months before can move gold as much as the new number.
Gold after the 68 releases from 2020-02-07 to 2025-12-16: a typical move of 0.30% in the first 15 minutes, 0.33% in the first hour, 0.61% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 40 times and down 28. The biggest first hour: -$32.45 (-1.70%) on 2023-02-03.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,301.07 | +$3.23 +0.08% | +$24.62 +0.57% | +$29.55 / -$1.25 | +$0.97 +0.02% | |
| $4,085.88 | -$5.14 -0.13% | -$5.40 -0.13% | +$10.44 / -$18.91 | -$8.68 -0.21% | |
| $3,554.69 | +$28.78 +0.81% | +$24.44 +0.69% | +$32.16 / -$0.15 | +$31.89 +0.90% | |
| $3,301.46 | +$37.80 +1.14% | +$50.29 +1.52% | +$53.30 / $0.00 | +$60.92 +1.85% | |
| $3,350.34 | -$38.15 -1.14% | -$17.91 -0.53% | +$0.03 / -$38.67 | -$24.42 -0.73% | |
| $3,358.67 | -$5.48 -0.16% | -$4.73 -0.14% | +$5.49 / -$15.11 | -$46.55 -1.39% | |
| $3,258.98 | -$2.71 -0.08% | -$1.62 -0.05% | +$4.07 / -$19.47 | -$18.68 -0.57% | |
| $3,096.90 | -$8.12 -0.26% | -$21.09 -0.68% | +$4.18 / -$27.04 | -$59.56 -1.92% | |
| $2,912.41 | +$10.53 +0.36% | +$4.59 +0.16% | +$13.95 / -$8.24 | -$0.47 -0.02% | |
| $2,864.19 | -$1.24 -0.04% | +$9.29 +0.32% | +$11.06 / -$11.67 | -$2.89 -0.10% | |
| $2,676.91 | -$1.16 -0.04% | +$12.33 +0.46% | +$13.82 / -$12.81 | +$12.05 +0.45% | |
| $2,635.57 | +$0.27 +0.01% | -$5.72 -0.22% | +$7.94 / -$11.45 | -$2.90 -0.11% |
US consumer prices (CPI)
Inflation above what markets expected usually means US rates stay high for longer: the dollar and yields rise and gold tends to fall at first. Inflation below expectations usually does the opposite.
Gold after the 69 releases from 2020-02-13 to 2025-12-18: a typical move of 0.30% in the first 15 minutes, 0.34% in the first hour, 0.57% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 42 times and down 27. The biggest first hour: +$31.65 (+1.73%) on 2021-11-10.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,321.08 | +$15.61 +0.36% | +$11.74 +0.27% | +$21.93 / $0.00 | +$11.26 +0.26% | |
| $4,061.74 | +$21.73 +0.53% | +$52.39 +1.29% | +$60.21 / -$0.47 | +$50.52 +1.24% | |
| $3,623.83 | +$13.32 +0.37% | -$2.38 -0.07% | +$20.12 / -$10.70 | +$10.13 +0.28% | |
| $3,339.65 | +$10.02 +0.30% | +$7.93 +0.24% | +$18.46 / $0.00 | +$8.38 +0.25% | |
| $3,354.24 | -$2.68 -0.08% | -$13.38 -0.40% | +$5.87 / -$16.45 | -$29.59 -0.88% | |
| $3,339.77 | +$14.63 +0.44% | -$1.97 -0.06% | +$20.93 / -$8.04 | +$15.05 +0.45% | |
| $3,239.87 | +$7.49 +0.23% | +$4.63 +0.14% | +$9.06 / -$3.53 | +$10.11 +0.31% | |
| $3,126.51 | -$1.69 -0.05% | +$6.34 +0.20% | +$10.23 / -$10.37 | +$48.88 +1.56% | |
| $2,913.76 | +$5.22 +0.18% | -$2.82 -0.10% | +$9.43 / -$7.59 | +$19.55 +0.67% | |
| $2,877.69 | -$6.16 -0.21% | +$17.99 +0.63% | +$18.57 / -$13.47 | +$26.28 +0.91% | |
| $2,684.02 | +$2.92 +0.11% | +$5.67 +0.21% | +$11.94 / $0.00 | +$12.26 +0.46% | |
| $2,694.51 | +$5.80 +0.22% | +$6.19 +0.23% | +$9.74 / -$0.56 | +$23.44 +0.87% |
ABD Federal Rezerv faiz kararı
A cut, or a hint of cuts sooner than markets expected, usually weakens the dollar and helps gold; a hold with a firm tone, or a hike, usually does the opposite. The press conference half an hour later often moves gold more than the decision itself.
Gold after the 40 releases from 2021-01-27 to 2025-12-10: a typical move of 0.19% in the first 15 minutes, 0.48% in the first hour, 0.72% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 21 times and down 19. The biggest first hour: +$31.50 (+1.59%) on 2023-12-13.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,194.43 | +$17.83 +0.43% | +$22.21 +0.53% | +$25.44 / -$12.52 | +$34.11 +0.81% | |
| $3,994.85 | -$11.45 -0.29% | -$25.54 -0.64% | +$12.56 / -$51.85 | -$64.73 -1.62% | |
| $3,686.70 | +$1.23 +0.03% | -$36.32 -0.99% | +$20.82 / -$40.48 | -$26.86 -0.73% | |
| $3,302.21 | -$2.84 -0.09% | -$21.98 -0.67% | +$2.77 / -$22.60 | -$27.31 -0.83% | |
| $3,385.27 | +$6.93 +0.20% | -$6.14 -0.18% | +$10.55 / -$6.89 | -$16.12 -0.48% | |
| $3,385.01 | +$10.29 +0.30% | -$0.39 -0.01% | +$12.91 / -$8.95 | -$20.57 -0.61% | |
| $3,030.20 | +$8.45 +0.28% | +$16.68 +0.55% | +$18.42 / -$0.51 | +$16.96 +0.56% | |
| $2,750.84 | -$2.86 -0.10% | +$4.41 +0.16% | +$6.88 / -$6.11 | +$8.84 +0.32% | |
| $2,636.78 | -$20.15 -0.76% | -$32.20 -1.22% | +$0.16 / -$32.70 | -$51.47 -1.95% | |
| $2,695.28 | -$2.41 -0.09% | -$0.88 -0.03% | +$2.82 / -$7.80 | +$10.96 +0.41% | |
| $2,567.57 | +$21.34 +0.83% | +$8.21 +0.32% | +$32.59 / -$0.48 | -$8.30 -0.32% | |
| $2,425.82 | -$3.41 -0.14% | +$8.06 +0.33% | +$9.60 / -$4.23 | +$21.42 +0.88% |
Bilmekte fayda var
- Etki, bir olayın altını, dövizleri ve endeksleri genellikle ne kadar hareket ettirdiğine dair bizim tahminimizdir: istihdam raporu, TÜFE, PCE, GSYH ve sekiz büyük merkez bankasının her faiz kararı için yüksek; geri kalanı için orta ve düşük. Bu kurumların değil, bizim etiketimizdir.
- Bir açıklamanın çevresindeki dakikalarda fiyatlar sıçrayabilir ve spread'ler genişleyebilir; bu yüzden bir stop, fiyatından çok uzakta gerçekleşebilir. Bazı broker'lar bu saatlerde işlemi sınırlar: hesabınızın kurallarını okuyun.
- Her büyük ABD açıklaması son yayımlanan rakamını gösterir; yeni rakam çıktığında onun yerini alır. Tahminler ve "konsensüs" rakamları diğer firmaların ücretli verileridir, bu yüzden burada yoktur.
- Saatler UTC'dir; ABD açıklamalarında New York saati de gösterilir. Japonya Merkez Bankası kararı için sabit bir saat belirlemez, bu yüzden saati yoktur. Hazine ihaleleri o gün New York saatiyle öğleden sonra 1:00'de kapanır.
Every Fed and ECB date of the year: central bank calendar. Source: Baroq data. Dates can move.
Ücretsiz kitap · PDF · 6 sayfa ve 1 tane daha
The Gold Field Guide
Saat saat altın günü, fiyatın arkasındaki altı güç ve takviminizde yer almayı hak eden veri açıklamaları.
Yalnızca veri ve eğitim amaçlıdır; yatırım tavsiyesi veya alım satım sinyali değildir. Kamuya açık kaynaklar geç kalabilir veya hatalı olabilir; bir rakama güvenmeden önce kontrol edin. Geçmiş fiyatlar bir piyasanın ne yapacağını göstermez. Risk uyarısı · Bu sayfadaki kelimelerin açıklaması