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Keputusan suku bunga delapan bank sentral utama, data AS yang menggerakkan emas dan dolar, dan lelang Treasury untuk dua bulan ke depan, masing-masing dari bank atau lembaga yang menerbitkannya.
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The Gold Field Guide
Read 8 min ago.
Next high-impact event: Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday 28 October (in 2 days).
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| Hari | Time | Mata uang | Impact | Apa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
today | USD | Terendah | US 2-Year note auction amount not announced yet | |
tomorrow | USD | Terendah | US 5-Year note auction amount not announced yet | |
dalam 2 hari | 01:00 UTC | NZD | Tertinggi | Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time |
| 13:45 UTC | CAD | Tertinggi | Bank of Canada rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:45 local time | |
| 18:00 UTC 2:00 pm New York | USD | Tertinggi | US Federal Reserve rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time Gold after the last 40: a typical move of 0.48% in the first hour, up 21 times and down 19. Playbook | |
| USD | Terendah | US 2-Year note auction amount not announced yet | ||
dalam 3 hari | 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% | |
| 13:15 UTC | EUR | Tertinggi | European Central Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:15 local time | |
dalam 4 hari | 12:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US employment cost index Employment Cost Index |
| JPY | Tertinggi | Bank of Japan rate decision decision day, no set announcement time | ||
dalam 8 hari | 03:30 UTC | AUD | Tertinggi | Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:30 local time |
| 15:00 UTC 10:00 am New York | USD | Medium | US job openings (JOLTS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Last published: openings 7.08 million (Aug 2026); before that: openings 7.33 million | |
dalam 9 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US trade balance U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services |
| 14:00 UTC | EUR | Tertinggi | Euro area inflation, flash estimate (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate | |
dalam 10 hari | 12:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | Bank of England rate decision decision day, usually announced at 12:00 local time |
dalam 11 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US jobs report (non-farm payrolls) Employment Situation Last published: payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (Sep 2026); before that: payrolls +133k, unemployment 4.1% Gold after the last 68: a typical move of 0.33% in the first hour, up 40 times and down 28. Playbook |
dalam 15 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US consumer prices (CPI) Consumer Price Index Last published: y/y 3.7%, m/m 0.6% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 3.4%, m/m 0.4% Gold after the last 69: a typical move of 0.34% in the first hour, up 42 times and down 27. Playbook |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Terendah | US real earnings Real Earnings | |
dalam 17 hari | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | UK GDP, first estimate GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | UK GDP, first estimate GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 | |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: September 2026 | |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: September 2026 time series | |
dalam 18 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US producer prices (PPI) Producer Price Index Last published: y/y 6.3% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 5.6% |
dalam 22 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Terendah | US import and export prices U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes |
dalam 23 hari | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: October 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: October 2026 | |
| 11:00 UTC | EUR | Medium | Euro area inflation, final (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP | |
dalam 25 hari | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: October 2026 |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: October 2026 time series | |
dalam 30 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% | |
dalam 36 hari | 14:00 UTC | EUR | Tertinggi | Euro area inflation, flash estimate (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate |
| 15:00 UTC 10:00 am New York | USD | Medium | US job openings (JOLTS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Last published: openings 7.08 million (Aug 2026); before that: openings 7.33 million | |
dalam 39 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US jobs report (non-farm payrolls) Employment Situation Last published: payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (Sep 2026); before that: payrolls +133k, unemployment 4.1% Gold after the last 68: a typical move of 0.33% in the first hour, up 40 times and down 28. Playbook |
dalam 43 hari | 03:30 UTC | AUD | Tertinggi | Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:30 local time |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US trade balance U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services | |
dalam 44 hari | 01:00 UTC | NZD | Tertinggi | Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time |
| 14:45 UTC | CAD | Tertinggi | Bank of Canada rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:45 local time | |
| 19:00 UTC 2:00 pm New York | USD | Tertinggi | US Federal Reserve rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:00 local time Gold after the last 40: a typical move of 0.48% in the first hour, up 21 times and down 19. Playbook | |
dalam 45 hari | 08:30 UTC | CHF | Tertinggi | Swiss National Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 09:30 local time |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US consumer prices (CPI) Consumer Price Index Last published: y/y 3.7%, m/m 0.6% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 3.4%, m/m 0.4% Gold after the last 69: a typical move of 0.34% in the first hour, up 42 times and down 27. Playbook | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Terendah | US real earnings Real Earnings | |
dalam 46 hari | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: October 2026 time series |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK GDP, monthly GDP monthly estimate, UK: October 2026 | |
dalam 50 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Medium | US producer prices (PPI) Producer Price Index Last published: y/y 6.3% (Sep 2026); before that: y/y 5.6% |
dalam 51 hari | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | UK consumer prices (CPI) Consumer price inflation, UK: November 2026 |
dalam 52 hari | 11:00 UTC | EUR | Medium | Euro area inflation, final (HICP) Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP |
| 12:00 UTC | GBP | Tertinggi | Bank of England rate decision decision day, usually announced at 12:00 local time | |
| 13:15 UTC | EUR | Tertinggi | European Central Bank rate decision decision day, usually announced at 14:15 local time | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Terendah | US import and export prices U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes | |
dalam 53 hari | 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: November 2026 |
| 07:00 UTC | GBP | Medium | UK retail sales Retail sales, Great Britain: November 2026 time series | |
| JPY | Tertinggi | Bank of Japan rate decision decision day, no set announcement time | ||
dalam 58 hari | 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US GDP Gross Domestic Product Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US GDP Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US GDP Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State Last published: growth, annual rate 2.2% (Q2 2026); before that: growth, annual rate 2.5% | |
| 13:30 UTC 8:30 am New York | USD | Tertinggi | US personal income and spending (PCE inflation) Personal Income and Outlays Last published: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% (Aug 2026); before that: PCE prices y/y 3.4%, core y/y 3.0% |
Release playbooks
How the releases that move gold most are usually read, and what gold did right after each past one: moves from the last price before the release, in US dollars an ounce and in percent, on Baroq data's gold prices. These are past moves, not a forecast.
Laporan tenaga kerja AS (non-farm payrolls)
More jobs or faster pay rises than markets expected usually lift the dollar and US yields, and gold tends to fall; a weak report usually does the opposite. Revisions to the two months before can move gold as much as the new number.
Gold after the 68 releases from 2020-02-07 to 2025-12-16: a typical move of 0.30% in the first 15 minutes, 0.33% in the first hour, 0.61% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 40 times and down 28. The biggest first hour: -$32.45 (-1.70%) on 2023-02-03.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,301.07 | +$3.23 +0.08% | +$24.62 +0.57% | +$29.55 / -$1.25 | +$0.97 +0.02% | |
| $4,085.88 | -$5.14 -0.13% | -$5.40 -0.13% | +$10.44 / -$18.91 | -$8.68 -0.21% | |
| $3,554.69 | +$28.78 +0.81% | +$24.44 +0.69% | +$32.16 / -$0.15 | +$31.89 +0.90% | |
| $3,301.46 | +$37.80 +1.14% | +$50.29 +1.52% | +$53.30 / $0.00 | +$60.92 +1.85% | |
| $3,350.34 | -$38.15 -1.14% | -$17.91 -0.53% | +$0.03 / -$38.67 | -$24.42 -0.73% | |
| $3,358.67 | -$5.48 -0.16% | -$4.73 -0.14% | +$5.49 / -$15.11 | -$46.55 -1.39% | |
| $3,258.98 | -$2.71 -0.08% | -$1.62 -0.05% | +$4.07 / -$19.47 | -$18.68 -0.57% | |
| $3,096.90 | -$8.12 -0.26% | -$21.09 -0.68% | +$4.18 / -$27.04 | -$59.56 -1.92% | |
| $2,912.41 | +$10.53 +0.36% | +$4.59 +0.16% | +$13.95 / -$8.24 | -$0.47 -0.02% | |
| $2,864.19 | -$1.24 -0.04% | +$9.29 +0.32% | +$11.06 / -$11.67 | -$2.89 -0.10% | |
| $2,676.91 | -$1.16 -0.04% | +$12.33 +0.46% | +$13.82 / -$12.81 | +$12.05 +0.45% | |
| $2,635.57 | +$0.27 +0.01% | -$5.72 -0.22% | +$7.94 / -$11.45 | -$2.90 -0.11% |
US consumer prices (CPI)
Inflation above what markets expected usually means US rates stay high for longer: the dollar and yields rise and gold tends to fall at first. Inflation below expectations usually does the opposite.
Gold after the 69 releases from 2020-02-13 to 2025-12-18: a typical move of 0.30% in the first 15 minutes, 0.34% in the first hour, 0.57% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 42 times and down 27. The biggest first hour: +$31.65 (+1.73%) on 2021-11-10.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,321.08 | +$15.61 +0.36% | +$11.74 +0.27% | +$21.93 / $0.00 | +$11.26 +0.26% | |
| $4,061.74 | +$21.73 +0.53% | +$52.39 +1.29% | +$60.21 / -$0.47 | +$50.52 +1.24% | |
| $3,623.83 | +$13.32 +0.37% | -$2.38 -0.07% | +$20.12 / -$10.70 | +$10.13 +0.28% | |
| $3,339.65 | +$10.02 +0.30% | +$7.93 +0.24% | +$18.46 / $0.00 | +$8.38 +0.25% | |
| $3,354.24 | -$2.68 -0.08% | -$13.38 -0.40% | +$5.87 / -$16.45 | -$29.59 -0.88% | |
| $3,339.77 | +$14.63 +0.44% | -$1.97 -0.06% | +$20.93 / -$8.04 | +$15.05 +0.45% | |
| $3,239.87 | +$7.49 +0.23% | +$4.63 +0.14% | +$9.06 / -$3.53 | +$10.11 +0.31% | |
| $3,126.51 | -$1.69 -0.05% | +$6.34 +0.20% | +$10.23 / -$10.37 | +$48.88 +1.56% | |
| $2,913.76 | +$5.22 +0.18% | -$2.82 -0.10% | +$9.43 / -$7.59 | +$19.55 +0.67% | |
| $2,877.69 | -$6.16 -0.21% | +$17.99 +0.63% | +$18.57 / -$13.47 | +$26.28 +0.91% | |
| $2,684.02 | +$2.92 +0.11% | +$5.67 +0.21% | +$11.94 / $0.00 | +$12.26 +0.46% | |
| $2,694.51 | +$5.80 +0.22% | +$6.19 +0.23% | +$9.74 / -$0.56 | +$23.44 +0.87% |
Keputusan suku bunga Federal Reserve AS
A cut, or a hint of cuts sooner than markets expected, usually weakens the dollar and helps gold; a hold with a firm tone, or a hike, usually does the opposite. The press conference half an hour later often moves gold more than the decision itself.
Gold after the 40 releases from 2021-01-27 to 2025-12-10: a typical move of 0.19% in the first 15 minutes, 0.48% in the first hour, 0.72% by the New York close (the middle value, up or down). After an hour it was up 21 times and down 19. The biggest first hour: +$31.50 (+1.59%) on 2023-12-13.
| Release day | Gold before | After 15 minutes | After 1 hour | Highest / lowest in the hour | New York close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,194.43 | +$17.83 +0.43% | +$22.21 +0.53% | +$25.44 / -$12.52 | +$34.11 +0.81% | |
| $3,994.85 | -$11.45 -0.29% | -$25.54 -0.64% | +$12.56 / -$51.85 | -$64.73 -1.62% | |
| $3,686.70 | +$1.23 +0.03% | -$36.32 -0.99% | +$20.82 / -$40.48 | -$26.86 -0.73% | |
| $3,302.21 | -$2.84 -0.09% | -$21.98 -0.67% | +$2.77 / -$22.60 | -$27.31 -0.83% | |
| $3,385.27 | +$6.93 +0.20% | -$6.14 -0.18% | +$10.55 / -$6.89 | -$16.12 -0.48% | |
| $3,385.01 | +$10.29 +0.30% | -$0.39 -0.01% | +$12.91 / -$8.95 | -$20.57 -0.61% | |
| $3,030.20 | +$8.45 +0.28% | +$16.68 +0.55% | +$18.42 / -$0.51 | +$16.96 +0.56% | |
| $2,750.84 | -$2.86 -0.10% | +$4.41 +0.16% | +$6.88 / -$6.11 | +$8.84 +0.32% | |
| $2,636.78 | -$20.15 -0.76% | -$32.20 -1.22% | +$0.16 / -$32.70 | -$51.47 -1.95% | |
| $2,695.28 | -$2.41 -0.09% | -$0.88 -0.03% | +$2.82 / -$7.80 | +$10.96 +0.41% | |
| $2,567.57 | +$21.34 +0.83% | +$8.21 +0.32% | +$32.59 / -$0.48 | -$8.30 -0.32% | |
| $2,425.82 | -$3.41 -0.14% | +$8.06 +0.33% | +$9.60 / -$4.23 | +$21.42 +0.88% |
Perlu diketahui
- Dampak adalah penilaian kami tentang seberapa besar suatu peristiwa biasanya menggerakkan emas, mata uang, dan indeks: tinggi untuk laporan tenaga kerja, CPI, PCE, PDB, dan setiap keputusan suku bunga delapan bank sentral utama; sedang dan rendah untuk sisanya. Ini label kami, bukan label lembaga.
- Harga bisa melonjak dan spread melebar dalam beberapa menit di sekitar rilis, sehingga stop bisa terisi jauh dari harganya. Beberapa broker membatasi trading pada waktu-waktu ini: baca aturan akun Anda.
- Setiap rilis besar AS menampilkan angka terakhir yang diterbitkan; saat angka baru keluar, angka itu menggantikannya. Prakiraan dan angka "konsensus" adalah data berbayar milik perusahaan lain, jadi tidak ada di sini.
- Waktu dalam UTC; rilis AS juga menampilkan waktu New York. Bank of Japan tidak menetapkan jam pasti untuk keputusannya, jadi tidak ada waktunya. Lelang Treasury ditutup pukul 1:00 siang waktu New York pada hari itu.
Every Fed and ECB date of the year: central bank calendar. Source: Baroq data. Dates can move.
Buku gratis · PDF · 6 halaman dan 1 lagi
The Gold Field Guide
Hari emas jam demi jam, enam kekuatan di balik harga, dan rilis data yang layak masuk kalender Anda.
Hanya data dan edukasi, bukan nasihat investasi dan bukan sinyal trading. Sumber publik bisa terlambat atau keliru; periksa sebelum mengandalkan sebuah angka. Harga masa lalu tidak memprediksi apa yang akan dilakukan pasar. Peringatan risiko · Istilah di halaman ini, dijelaskan