Drawdown simulator
How deep a normal losing run goes at your size.
Free risk tools
Daily stop tester
Most accounts are not ended by a bad trade but by a bad day. Test the daily stop you use, or the one you are thinking about, on thousands of simulated days at your own numbers.
Free, no sign-up On sale: Desk and Desk + Signals. See the plans
- Free
- No sign-up
- Nothing you type is stored
How you trade a day
Your stop over 60 days
An example with typical numbers. Change any box to use your own.
Your stop at -1.5% costs some profit. It cuts the worst day in a hundred from 3.1% to 1.9% and the deepest fall one future in ten sees from 13.4% to 12.9%. The middle result over 60 days moves from +13.7% to +12.4%.
- Your edge per trade
- +0.07 of the risk after costs. A daily stop does not change the odds of the next trade; it changes how many trades a bad day gets.
- Days that end at your stop
- 16% of days, about 3 days in a month of 20. You take 5.5 trades a day on average instead of 6.0.
- Worst day
- One day in a hundred loses 1.9% or more; the worst of all 120,000 simulated days lost 1.9%. With no stop: 3.1% and 3.1%.
- Chance of a 10% fall
- about 1 in 4 (25%) within 60 trading days with your stop; about 1 in 4 (27%) with none.
- After 60 days
- Middle +12.4%. A bad one in ten -2.8% or worse, a good one in ten +30.7% or better.
- No daily stop-3.1%
- -0.525% (1 loss)-0.9%
- -1.05% (2 losses)-1.4%
- -1.5% (3 losses)-1.9%
- -2.1% (4 losses)-2.1%
| Daily stop | Worst day in 100 | Deepest fall, 1 in 10 | Middle result |
|---|---|---|---|
| No daily stop | 3.1% | 13.4% | +13.7% |
| -0.525% (1 loss) | 0.9% | 10.1% | +6.6% |
| -1.05% (2 losses) | 1.4% | 12.1% | +10.8% |
| -1.5% (3 losses) | 1.9% | 12.9% | +12.4% |
| -2.1% (4 losses) | 2.1% | 13.2% | +13.3% |
2,000 simulated runs of 60 trading days, up to 6 trades a day at 0.5% of the balance at the start of the day. Trades are independent apart from the tilt you typed in; real losses bunch on bad days, so the real worst day is deeper than this.
Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning
Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.
What a daily stop does, and what it does not
A daily stop cannot make a losing strategy win, and it does not change the odds of the next trade: the market does not know you had a bad morning. If every trade were the same coin flip, a stop would only cut the worst day and, with a real edge, give up a little profit from the trades it skips.
Traders are not coin flips. After two or three losses many take worse trades: bigger, faster, outside their plan, to win it back. A stop ends the day before those trades happen. Put a number on it in the box above and compare the rows: at a drop of ten points, a stop at two or three losses usually lifts the middle result, not only the worst day. See an example with tilt.
How to set yours
- Put it inside any limit your account has, often at half of it, so the worst day leaves the account open.
- Count it in losses, not money: two or three full losses is a common choice. Then write it into your trading plan and run each trade through the pre-trade check, which blocks a trade past it.
- See what the same numbers do over a longer run in the drawdown simulator.
Not advice and not a forecast. The answer is arithmetic on the numbers you type, not a test of a strategy. Baroq's own gold strategies are judged on real prices after costs on the record.
Next tools
Drawdown recovery planner
How long the climb back takes, and why sizing up backfires.
Trading plan builder
Your risk, stops, markets and hours on one printable page.
Pricing
Three ways in. Pick yours.
See all plans · Try one agent free
Baroq never holds your money and never trades for you. Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.