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Volatility target calculator

How big a position to hold so your account swings by the amount you choose, not by whatever the market does.

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  • Free
  • No sign-up
  • Nothing you type is stored

The position

Gold runs near 15%, big stock indexes 15 to 20%, bitcoin 50% or more. Measure it with the historical volatility calculator.
Many funds aim for 10% to 15%.

The size

Hold about $6,250.00 of it: 0.62 times the account, for the account to swing about 10% a year.

A usual day
About $62.99 up or down on the account.
A bad day
About $146.78 lost about one day in a hundred, if the swings stay as typed. Crashes run bigger.

The position for other targets, with the same asset volatility.

TargetPositionLeverageUsual day
5%$3,125.000.31×$31.50
10%$6,250.000.62×$62.99
15%$9,375.000.94×$94.49
20%$12,500.001.25×$125.99
30%$18,750.001.88×$188.98

Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning

Want this check on every trade?

Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.

Size by the swing, not by the price

A position of the same money in bitcoin and in gold carries very different risk, because bitcoin swings three or four times as much. Volatility targeting fixes the swing of the account instead: hold less of what moves a lot and more of what moves little. Many trend-following and risk-parity funds size every market this way.

When the market gets wilder, the same target means a smaller position, so re-check after big moves. Measure the asset's swing with the historical volatility calculator; for the size of a single trade with a stop, use the position size calculator.

Not advice. Arithmetic on the numbers you type; volatility changes, and losses can be larger than a normal day suggests.

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Baroq never holds your money and never trades for you. Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.

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