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Squeeze calculator

Is the market coiling for a bigger move? The Bollinger bands inside the Keltner channel, how long it has lasted, and how past squeezes moved after they fired.

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The bars

Oldest first, at least 21 bars; more bars show more past squeezes. Three numbers per bar, bars split by semicolons: 2295.6 2282.7 2286.3; 2294.8 2278.4 2281.9
How many bars after a squeeze fires to measure the move.

The squeeze

No squeeze: the bands are outside the channel; the last one fired 17 bars ago, up. Momentum leans up (the close is above the 20-bar average).

After past squeezes
3 squeezes fired with 5 bars after: the price went on in the direction it fired 33% of the time, -0.19% on average that way. The size of the move 5 bars on was 1.17%, against 1.13% for any 5-bar stretch in these bars.
How long they lasted
Squeezes in these bars lasted 1 to 13 bars, 8 on average.
Read it with care
A squeeze says a bigger move is likely, not which way: the side it fires on is the clue, and it is wrong often. Wait for the fire, and keep the stop beyond the coil.

Half the width of the Bollinger bands (2 standard deviations) and of the Keltner channel (1.5 ATR), and the squeeze, on the last bars. The last bar is marked.

BarBandsChannelSqueeze
7 ago77.3740.05Off
6 ago78.3040.55Off
5 ago80.5440.71Off
4 ago85.4940.11Off
3 ago91.3541.12Off
2 ago88.9341.02Off
1 ago86.1039.97Off
Last85.2439.86Off

Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning

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Quiet before the move

Volatility comes in waves: quiet spells give way to big moves. The squeeze spots the quiet. When the Bollinger bands, which widen and narrow with the standard deviation, shrink inside the Keltner channel, which follows the average true range, the market is unusually calm for its own range. When the bands push back out, the squeeze has fired, and traders look for the move to follow in the direction it fired.

See the bands with the Bollinger bands calculator, the channel with the Keltner channel calculator, quiet single bars with the NR7 and inside bar finder, and test how breakouts did with the breakout test.

Not advice. Arithmetic on the bars you type; a squeeze in the past bars does not say where the next move goes.

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