Donchian channel calculator
Breakout highs and lows from bars.
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Breakout test
Do breakouts in this market follow through or fail? Every close beyond the N-bar high or low in your bars, and what happened next.
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The bars
The follow-through
No breakout on the last bar: the close, 2,443.60, is inside the 20-bar range of 2,265.40 to 2,445.80, 0.09% below the high and 7.29% above the low. Breakouts have tended to follow through in these bars: a breakout entry has had the odds.
- Breakouts up
- 3 breakouts up: 100% were further up 5 bars later, 33% closed back below the broken level within them, and the average move was +0.78% their way.
- Breakdowns
- 1 breakdown: 100% were further down 5 bars later, 0% closed back above the broken level within them, and the average move was +0.55% their way.
- Read it with care
- A breakout counts when a close clears the 20-bar high or low; costs and slippage are left out. 4 finished signals is a small sample: one or two trades change the rates. Test more bars, and other markets, before trusting a rate.
The last breakouts: the side, the broken level and the move 5 bars later in the breakout's direction.
| Bar | Side | Level | After 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 ago | Down | 2,264.60 | +0.55% |
| 24 ago | Up | 2,292.80 | +0.08% |
| 18 ago | Up | 2,307.10 | +0.35% |
| 9 ago | Up | 2,362.50 | +1.91% |
| 4 ago | Up | 2,402.40 | Too recent |
Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning
Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.
Breakout or fake-out?
Buying a new high is the oldest trend-following rule: Richard Donchian's channel and the Turtle traders made it famous. In some markets and on some time frames it works; in others most breakouts fall straight back into the range. Before you trade the next one, count what the last ones did. This page finds every fresh close beyond the N-bar high or low in your bars and measures the move a set number of bars later.
See the channel itself with the Donchian channel calculator, plan the entry with the range breakout planner, find quiet bars before a break with the NR7 and inside bar finder, and size the trade with the position size calculator.
Not advice. Counts on the bars you type; past breakouts do not promise how the next one will go.
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Baroq never holds your money and never trades for you. Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.