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NR7 and inside bar finder

Is the market coiled? Whether the last bar is the narrowest in 4 or 7 bars or an inside bar, its breakout levels, and what came after the past ones.

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The bars

Oldest first, at least 7 bars. Three numbers per bar, bars split by semicolons: 2295.6 2282.7 2286.3; 2294.8 2278.4 2281.9

The narrow range check

The last bar is not a narrow-range bar: its range, 25.10, is wider than at least one of the 3 bars before it. The bar before was an NR7 and an inside bar, and the last bar broke both its high and its low.

The levels
There is no squeeze on the last bar to trade. The last bar ran from 2,421.10 to 2,446.20.
How quiet
The last bar's range is 89% of the average range of the last 20 bars (28.15).
In these bars
There were 7 NR7s: the next bar broke its high or low 7 times, and its range averaged 0.9× the 10 bars before; and 14 inside bars: the next bar broke its high or low 13 times, and its range averaged 1.1× the 10 bars before. A handful of cases proves nothing on its own, but it shows how this market has behaved.
Read it with care
A narrow bar says a bigger move is likely, not which way. Breakouts fail often, so many traders wait for the break and keep the stop on the other side of the bar.

The high, low and range of the last bars, and which are NR7, NR4 or inside bars (In). The last bar is marked.

BarHighLowRangePattern
7 ago2,396.402,373.0023.40NR4
6 ago2,401.502,368.1033.40–
5 ago2,402.402,373.3029.10–
4 ago2,415.302,396.2019.10NR7
3 ago2,434.602,394.4040.20–
2 ago2,445.802,419.7026.10–
1 ago2,438.702,425.3013.40NR7 In
Last2,446.202,421.1025.10–

Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning

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Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.

Quiet before the move

Toby Crabel found that a very narrow day tends to be followed by a wider one. An NR7 is a bar whose range, high minus low, is the narrowest of the last 7 bars; an NR4 the narrowest of the last 4. An inside bar sits wholly within the bar before it. All three say the same thing: the market has gone quiet, and quiet rarely lasts.

See the breakout channel with the Donchian channel calculator, measure the usual range with the ATR calculator, and size the trade with its stop on the other side of the bar with the position size calculator.

Not advice. Arithmetic on the bars you type; a pattern describes the past bars, not the next one.

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Baroq never holds your money and never trades for you. Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.

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