Moving average crossover calculator
Two averages and their last cross.
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Moving average crossover test
Would trading every cross of two moving averages have paid in this market? Every trade in your closes, after costs, against simply holding.
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The closes
The record
The cross is long now: the 10-bar average went above the 30-bar one 15 bars ago, +2.50% so far. Trading every cross did worse than holding from the first one (-0.9% against +16.2%).
- Long and short
- 9 trades, 4 won (44%): -0.93% in all, +0.02% a trade on average.
- Long only
- 5 long trades, flat while the fast average is below: +7.48% in all.
- Holding instead
- Bought on the first cross and held to the last close: +16.24%.
- Best and worst
- Best trade +12.56%, worst -5.86%.
- Read it with care
- Each trade is entered and left on the crossing close, with 0.05% taken off for the round trip; slippage and swap are left out. 8 finished trades is a small sample. Test more closes, and other markets, before trusting it.
The last trades: how long each was held in bars and its result after costs.
| Entered | Side | Bars | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 ago | Short | 6 | -3.65% |
| 106 ago | Long | 13 | -5.86% |
| 93 ago | Short | 18 | -4.74% |
| 75 ago | Long | 57 | +12.56% |
| 18 ago | Short | 1 | -0.67% |
| 17 ago | Long | 1 | -1.14% |
| 16 ago | Short | 1 | +1.10% |
| Now | Long | 15 | +2.50% |
Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning
Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.
A cross looks good on a chart, then pays the spread in a range
On a chart the crossings in a long trend look like easy money. The same rule also flips back and forth in every sideways stretch, and each flip costs the spread. This page trades every cross in your closes, long when the fast average goes above the slow one and short when it goes below, takes the cost off each trade, and compares the result with buying on the first cross and holding.
See the two averages and the last cross with the moving average crossover calculator, check whether the market trends or reverts with the trend or mean reversion test, test channel breakouts with the breakout test, and size the trade with the position size calculator.
Not advice. Counts on the closes you type; past trades do not promise how the next one will go.
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Baroq never holds your money and never trades for you. Educational only, not financial advice; trading involves risk.