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Internal bar strength test

Where the close sat in the bar, from 0 at the low to 1 at the high, and whether low and high closes snapped back in your bars.

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The bars

Oldest first: high, low, close for each bar, bars split by semicolons. The sample is gold.
Below this is a low close; a high close is the same distance from 1 (0.2 means 0.8).
How many bars after the signal to measure the move.

The record

The last bar closed at an IBS of 0.896: a high close, above 0.8.

The verdict
The close moved against the extreme 26% of the time, against 46% for a random entry: within what chance alone gives on 23 signals, so no edge shows here.
After low closes
7 bars closed below 0.2: 1 bar later the close was higher 29% of the time, -0.01% on average. Any 1-bar stretch in these bars ended higher 59% of the time.
After high closes
16 bars closed above 0.8: 1 bar later the close was lower 25% of the time, +0.28% on average. Any 1-bar stretch in these bars ended lower 41% of the time.
Read it with care
Each signal is bought or sold at its own close; costs and slippage are left out. 23 finished signals is a small sample. The low-IBS bounce is best known in stock indices on daily bars; test years of your own market before trusting it.

The last signals: the IBS of the bar and the move to the close 1 bar later.

BarSignalIBSAfter 1
17 agoHigh close0.810-0.09%
10 agoHigh close0.802+0.56%
9 agoHigh close0.900+0.76%
8 agoHigh close0.900+0.25%
5 agoHigh close0.887+0.56%
4 agoHigh close0.853+0.76%
3 agoHigh close0.905-0.14%
LastHigh close0.896Too recent

Education only, not investment advice. The answer comes from the numbers you typed in, not from your account or the market. Simulated results are hypothetical and have limits: real trading has slippage, gaps, changing results and emotions. Trading leveraged products can lose money quickly, including all of it. Risk warning

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Where did the bar close?

Internal bar strength is the close's place in the bar's range: (close - low) / (high - low). At 0 the bar closed on its low, at 1 on its high. Short-term traders in stock indices have long noted that a close near the low was often followed by a bounce the next day, and a close near the high by a dip. Whether that holds in your market is a question for your own bars, so this page counts every low and high close and what happened next, against a random entry.

Test other snap-back signals with the RSI signal test and Bollinger band test, and check whether the market trends or reverts with the trend or mean reversion test.

Not advice. Counts on the bars you type; past signals do not promise how the next one will go.

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